Wednesday 9th August 2023
And another placing… can do better…
Winchester Rifle hung on for third yesterday ($1.60), while Froggy disappointed again with his ride on Royal Fox, way too far back and left too much to do, despite his good finish… ho hum…
Seven from the book as we hit the midweeks, and some outrageous odds on offer!!
Big odds tips for the midweeks…
I’M A TIGER
Riccarton, 4
Not sure where we’re going with this lad… this is the easiest field he’s met for a while, but having said that, one win in 33 speaks volumes. Interest EW bet only today at $17…
BET: 2 units ew
MOSCOW RED
Sandown, 6
We spruiked her up 9 days ago at the Bool, down severely in grade and with a storming finish in her previous race. She duly repeated that effort, coming from dead last to run third, and the market agreed with us as they made her a $7 shot, significantly down in odds from previous runs. Back up to the BM70 here, has form at the track and jockey is 21:5-6 onboard, so while there’s a few decent horses in this, she can add some spice to the exotics as the $51 outsider, Watch for her late again over the extra 100m…
BET: 3 units ew, throw her in the exotics…
GIRL
Sandown, 8
We spruiked this girl up also 10 days ago, after she was a runaway winner in her second career start last November and did well in the next two up in grade before a 5 month break. Two runs back earlier this prep had been plain, the last one in a metro event at Caulfield, and we reckoned the drop to CL1 and the addition of Jye would do the trick, and she didn’t disappoint as she rattled home for us to win at $5.50. Back to BM70, up to 1300m, where she’s won before, and there’s some tidy opposition, but Jye sticks, and she’s a chance at $15…
BET: 3 units ew, exotics
LEGAL CHALLENGE
Warwick Farm, 6
Noted with interest 7 weeks ago, after being in the paddock for 22 months. Originally caught the eye in July two years ago with a stunning win from last and followed up with some close runs at Goulburn before heading off. Presented on his return as a $26 shot, and did very well to run on for fifth, less than a length from the winner. Trialled twice since then for a win and a third, Dolan sticks, and I’m gonna say he’s a shot at $71…
BET: 3 units ew, spice up your exotics!
FIRE LOVE
Doomben, 7
Better run here 14 days ago, finished fast for a close second under D Thornton. The extra 150m should suit, $16 looks generous…
BET: 3 units ew
DESERT NYMPH
Belmont, 3
Noted blocked for a run here back in Feb, and a good thing beaten, and duly proved that winning here for us the following month, then a third at Pinjarra before heading to the paddock. Resumes today after 4 months, good stats, fav jockey sticks, looks a race two, can win this as $3.90 second fav.
BET: 8 unit win
ALLEGIANCE
Belmont, 7
Struggling to make an impression in recent runs, up in grade a touch here, and hard to make a case really at $26. Interest only.
BET: 2 units ew
