Wednesday 22nd October 2025
Rougher…
A plugger’s fourth for Dillinger yesterday…
Plenty today for the midweeks, with 16 from the book on Geelong Cup Day, including a couple overnight at Happy Valley…
Midweek 14…
Luvabeel
Te Aroha R7
3:34pm
Resumed five weeks ago after running last at Te Rapa in the G2 Ellis in Feb after a couple of fast finishes early in the year. Trialled up twice month for a win and a second, and charged home for second. Ran third 18 days ago and hard fit and ready to win with Opie sticking, $2.60 fav.
BET: 10 unit win
Vistown
Te Aroha R8
4:09pm
Resumed over too short a month ago, winning strike rate a bit concerning but a better chance up to the mile, $11 shot.
BET: 3 units ew
Gina Rosa
Te Aroha R10
5:19pm
Broke maidens with a startling finish at Avondale in July before being brought down at Te Rapa in a big pile-up. Next two runs not as good but moves up to the 2200m here, gets S Weatherley up top and rates a better chance at $14.
BET: 3 units ew
Autumn Storm
Geelong R6
5:35pm
Was going well last year and won a year ago. His form this prep not very inspiring with a tenth and a fifteenth in July/August, has gone well in two recent trials for a fifth and a win. Thought he’d like the firmer track (6:2-2-0) 17 days ago, but simply didn’t feature. Gets fav jockey Jye McNeil up top, so maybe the sleeper here as $61 outsider.
BET: 3 units ew
Gilded Water, Berkeley Square, Ferago
Geelong R7
6:10pm
Three for the Geelong Cup, with Gilded Water the outstanding pick in this as $1.80 fav, looks the one to beat.
BS is consistent without winning and can fill a place, $7.50 on offer.
Ferago in similar form but needs to improve to feature as $91 outsider.
BET: GW 10 unit win, other two 3 units ew, exotics with GW to win.
Guerite, Haaracaine
Geelong R9
7:20pm
Guerite on the three day back-up if she starts, up in grade and distance but Fred sticks, so EW for her at $6.
H has been a bit plain last two in the grade after running a nice third at BM84 but rates an EW chance at $31 if he can produce his best…
BET: Both 3 units ew, could fill exotics places…
Vesper Lynd
Eagle Farm R3
5:43pm
Keeping us waiting for the maiden win, resumed with a second three weeks ago and should be thereabouts here, $13 on offer.
BET: 4 units ew
Chief Witness
Eagle Farm R7
8:05pm
Consistent without winning but back in grade and up in distance a touch, though needs the firm tracks. Fitter, and is right in this as $4.60 second fav.
BET: 5 units ew
Hayai Mesu
Strathalbyn R4
5:50pm
Has had plenty of chances recently, been going round at big odds, and likely to struggle again unless she can find her best form, $10
BET: 2 units ew
Junebug
Warwick Farm R4
7:10pm
Resuming from a five month break, caught the eye with the gritty win in Feb then again in April. Two recent close-up trials under B Nock, and though she’ll prefer further, she was won over the mile and the first-up record of 3:2-0-0 suggests she’s ready to rock, $15 look juicy!
BET: 4 units ew
Riva Aquarama
Belmont R8
10:40pm
Noted in mid-August when sprinting home form the back this T&D and resumes as $4.20 fav in this. Ran third in a recent trail, don’t see why she doesn’t win this…
BET: 5 units ew, 10 unit win if the money comes…
