Tuesday 7th November 2023
Melbourne Cup Day!!
How the heck does a horse that went from last in a 12 horse field to a three length win in his last race straggle into fifth in a six horse race next time out?
Ah, we’re not worried about that today, the Day of all Days!!
Melbourne Cup Day, and I’m all set up in front of the telly, fav food and vino ready for a day’s punting!
We’ve got two meetings in NZ and 15 in Aussie, and with almost 40 tips, it’s gonna be a busy day, the challenge is to keep on top of it all! NZ first, Aussie to follow…
NZ today!
AROMATIC
Pukekohe, 6
Recent tidy runs, goes out as $6 third fav here and rates an EW go.
BET: 4 units ew
PUKETIRO
Pukekohe, 7
Back from a G3, has won 4 from 6, looks the one to beat as the $5 co-fav.
BET: 5 units ew
HABANA, MILLEFIORI
Pukekohe, 8
Habana was a close third to Johny Johny last time out in the Sweynesse. Fab stats for here, $6 on offer, easy EW bet. Millefiori, owners tells me she’s unknown at this distance but did run well 10 days ago for second. $19 on offer…
BET: H 5 units ew, M 3 units ew
CHOKITO
Wingatui, 4
Drops in grade for this but over a year since she won, EW.
BET: 2 units ew
HENRY HUBBER, AMBERECHO, CAPO DELL IMPERO
Wingatui, 6
HH back in grade with Tina up top looks the go at $5.50. AE ran behind him last time out, place shot at $7. CDI not hopeless in this, needed the run on resuming, EW at $10.
BET: HH 5 units ew, other two 3 units ew, exotics!
LOCHNABERRY
Wingatui, 7
Spruiked her to take advantage of the longer distance last time out 13 days ago, and she was well-supported and duly obliged. Back up to the BM75 but rates a chance at $10.
BET: 4 units ew
THE GREY GOOSE
Wingatui, 8
Impressive screaming home late Sept, made note to follow her, second fav at $5, easy EW bet.
BET: 5 units ew
Aussie today!
BARBER, STANISLAUS
Flemington, 4
Our two are top two in betting at $2.30 and $4.20, hard to seperate.
BET: 10 unit quinella plus other exotics.
BALTIC COAST
Flemington, 6
First-up second was good, next one not so, but Gibbons back on today and loks an EW shot at $9.00
BET: 3 units ew
WITHOUT A FIGHT, SOULCOMBE
Flemington, 7
We’ve been all over WAF since mid-year, no reason the back off now. Soulcombe has his problems at the start, the 2 miles today may give him some forgiveness in this. Really don’t know enough about the fav Vauban, but if he’s as good as they say, watch out…
BET: WAF 5 units ew, Soulcombe 5 units ew, include in all exotics and include the fav
BERMADEZ
Flemington, 10
Been a bit out of sorts since his last win 18 months ago, but has a wicked first up record (6:4-0), not to mention the services of the soon-to-depart Olly, so we’re hoping for a little bit of magic from the master to close out the card. $18 on offer, worth an EW punt!
BET: 5 units ew
CHORLTON LANE
Flemington, 10
Very consistent since arriving in Aus, easy EW bet at $3.80/$1.90.
BET: 5 units ew
RUSSLEY CROWN
Randwick, 6
Up in grade but racing well, excellent distance stats, EW at $21.
BET: 4 units ew
KNIFE’S EDGE, PEPPER’S GHOST
Randwick, 7
At $71 and $251 they’ll need to n=be at their best to figure…
BET: 2 units ew interest bets only.
RECOMMENDATION
Randwick, 8
Another consistent animal,up in grade and back in distance, EW must at $7.50.
BET: 5 units ew
FRUMOS, RONDINO
Randwick, 9
Frumos down in grade which gives him a shot as $6 second fav. Rondino looks like he’ll need the resuming run at $23.
BET: F 5 units ew, R 2 units ew
CARRIBEAN KING
Eagle Farm, 4
Good first up stats resuming and a solid place shot at $7.
BET: 4 units ew
LITTLE RICH BOY
Morphettville, 10
Interest bet only in this, $16.
BET: 2 units ew
JET JITSU
Echuca, 6
Form this prep has been a bit sketchy but he has served us well in the past. Down a lot on grade for this as $2.80 fav, watch for him late.
BET: 10 unit win
NARITO
Canberra, 8
Interest bet only in this, $17.
BET: 2 units ew
SEIRYU
Sunshine Coast, 1
Good finish a month ago but up in grade today, maybe a place at $7.50.
BET: 3 units ew
TANTRUMS
Sunshine Coast, 6
Interest bet only in this, $81.
BET: 2 units ew
STORM DE LUNE
Kembla Grange, 1
Interest bet only in this, $21.
BET: 2 units ew
ALTERNO
Geraldton Turf Club, 5
Interest bet only in this, $12.
BET: 2 units ew
MOMBASA
Geraldton, 6
Two thirds have him primed to won, late finisher over the mile, good EW shot at $5.
BET: 5 units ew
BLAZING TYCOON
Ascot, 5
Needed resuming run, down in grade, EW at $17.
BET: 3 units ew
MINGORA
Ascot, 6
Thereabouts recently, fav at $4.00 here, EW
BET: 5 units ew
