Saturday 28th January 2023
Two nice winners…
Back to a bit of form, with top picks On My Pat (10 unit win, $3.20) and Badda Boom Baby (10 unit win, $2.10) getting up for us.
Highground (10 unit win) was fully expected to complete the trixie for us, but an awful ride had him well back until the run in, where he ran second, with Ornate fourth. Roughie Ziavera also ran fourth…
Twenty seven from the book, let’s get some winners!!
Here’s the NZ picks…
NZ tips
LANEWAY FLIRTING, RETURN WITH HONOUR
Trentham, 8
We followed LF to her last win, when she won brilliantly here, and while up in grade, she can win this as $4.80/$2 fav. RWH is on a similar mission, booming home at Wingatui on the same day and must go in your exotics.
BET: Back both 5 units ew, exotics
LADIES MAN, ASATHOUGHT, INMYSHADOW
Trentham, 9
A triple assault on the Wellington Cup, LM striking form at just the right time, he’ll run $2.80 fav, with the other two showing good glimpses of their best recently, they’re at $15 and $21 at the mo.
BET: LM 8 unit win, 2 units ew the other two, include all in exotics
FREE SPIRIT
Trentham, 10
Won well at Otaki two back before a nice third at this grade last time out. She’s in good form, and an EW go in this at $23.
BET: 3 units ew
SECOND THOUGHT
Riccarton, 5
Back as fav after a ten week break, ran well last prep and does have first up form. Has great T&D stats and has a trail to prepare. $2.40 on offer
BET: 10 unit win
KUSUDA
Riccarton, 6
Drops back to the BM75 but not going well enough. Has had success at the mile and will enjoy the wet underfoot. $16 on offer.
BET: 2 units ew
SHAZZA
Riccarton, 7
Not done much since noted clearing maidens in July, will enjoy the wet track and maybe the 1400m will help. $41 shot.
BET: 2 units ew
All the best from Aussie…
FIGHTING ARROW
Moonee Valley, 2
He’s building to a win after three placings this prep, though his get-back style not really suited round the Valley, but if Shinn can cosy him up closer this time, he’ll ping past them round the final bend. $4.80/$2.10 on offer
BET: 5 units ew
BIFROST
Moonee Valley, 5
Another one who’ll need to be closer in the run, but an EW shot at $9.
BET: 3 units ew
LUNA CAT
Moonee Valley, 6
Good return at Sandown three weeks ago from dead last to finish third, and ready to strike second up. Again, will need to be closer but fancied as $3.10 fav.
BET: 8 unit win
SUPERSTORM
Moonee Valley, 7
Resumes over too short surely as $15 outsider, has won up but likely to need the run after 15 months away. $15 outsider in small field…
BET: 2 unit win
KIBOSH, HASTY DUCHESS
Rosehill, 6
Nice return from Kibosh two weeks ago for fourth here and looks nicely placed second up with McEvoy sticking. Can get some of this at $5.50. HD has had a lot of breaks, will need this I imagine at $61.
BET: K 5 units ew. HD interest bet, 2 units ew
DESTINATION
Rosehill, 7
Form has slid away last two, only an EW shot in this at $15.
BET: 3 units ew
MARIAMIA
Rosehill, 8
She’s 2:2 here and sports some pretty decent other stats too… Gritty win on resumption for us two weeks back at $8.50, and while up in grade, can get some of this…
BET: 3 units ew
CONTRIBUTINGFACTOR, SUPER PURSUIT
Rosehill, 10
These two will go around at similar odds, around the $12 mark, CF having a bit more scope on his second run back (3:2-0 second up)
BET: Back both 3 units ew, exotics
PRANCE ‘N’ DANCE
Morphettville, 2
Close fourths last two after winning well in late Nov, rough EW chance at $9.50
BET: 2 units ew
EFFORTKAT
Morphettville, 3
Came with a driving rails run two weeks back at Penola to get up for us at $10. Harder today but back EW at $18
BET: 3 units ew
WHEELS
Morphettville, 5
Here form pops in and out but has run two fast-finishing thirds recently, so capable of making the finish in this at $8.50
BET: 3 units ew
WINSTON BLUE
Gold Coast, 4
$101 outsider, interest only…
BET: 2 units ew
FORMULA EXCEL
Gold Coast, 6
Former HK runner, has had a win and three seconds since coming back to Aus and can figure in this tight betting contest as one of three co-favs. $3.80 on offer.
BET: 8 unit win
WILD ROCKET
Newcastle, 1
Last win some time back now, not doping enough, $11 outsider in a small field…
BET: 2 unit win
GENJIRO
Sapphire Coast, 1
One win in 33 makes it hard to tip this fella, but this isn’t strong, so a chance in a small field at $5.
BET: 5 unit win
STAREMM
Tamworth, 6
She’s a $51 outsider here, not doping enough…
BET: 2 units ew
