March 12, 2022

Today’s Tips: Saturday 12th March 2022

Those two nice winners in Giveherago and The Gift kept us in the game, pity the odds-on Tidal Impact folded like a cheap ironing board, did me out of 600 notes…

Plenty to look at today, let’s see if we can achieve our near 25% winning Saturday strike rate!

The NZTAB system failure isn’t helping, so we’ll get the NZ picks up first before I trawl through 150+ horses to get the Aussie ones…

PUKEKOHE

Bit of “oil” from a mate on a couple that the boys are keen on here:

Race 2: FOLLOW YOUR DREAMS  ($7.50)

BET: 3 units ew

 

Race 3: SPLASH OF RED  ($3.20)

BET: 6 unit win.

We also have BIT NOSY  from the book in, form doesn’t read so well, but noted with a better run last time out.

BET: 2 units ew, include in exotics

TRENTHAM

Race 6: BELCLARE  has been in fine form and has good stats for this. Sixth in black type company last time out, Lisa jumps back onboard, will run fav at $2.60, looks very hard to beat…

BET: 10 unit win

FLEMINGTON

Race 2: GROOVY KINDA LOVE  ran a close second to Yonce last time out, that’s good form, and she’s been pretty consistent after slaughtering a big field at Ballarat back in October. $5.50 makes her backable in a small field, even though she’s up in grade…

BET: 5 unit win

 

Race 3: GENERAL BEAU  probably needed the run first up a couple of weeks back, no disgrace in getting done by Marabi, was only 3.6 lengths of… This easier, and he sports great stats for this, very backable ew at the mo at around $5/$2…

BET: 5 units ew

 

Race 5: LOST AND RUNNING  and MASKED CRUSADER  contest this one, and I prefer the former horse in this, along with Home Affairs. It’s a competitive field, with the like of Quantico, Snapdancer and the NZer Levante, but I feel the winner comes from the top two in betting in LAR and HA.

BET: You can just about back LAR 5 units ew at $4/$1.95, 10 unit quinella with HA. MC 2 units ew, mix up your exotics!

 

Race 7: You won’t get many $71 tips on these tipping sites, but here’s one today in the former HK galloper HO HO KHAN. Tried to lug 61kgs round Launceston last time out but couldn’t overhaul the winner. Obviously his toughest test to date, but he has won a Group 3 and a BM-100, watch for him late…

BET: 2 units ew, chuck him in the exotics!

ROSEHILL

Race 4: JALMARI  was spotted last month bolting home from the back to win at Nowra at $31. Almost repeated the dose two weeks ago at Canberra, running second at the same SP. Small field, and up in class today, rank outsider at $61, small win bet…

BET: 3 unit win, exotics

 

Race 7: MOUNT POPA’s early career stats are magnificent, but he didn’t quite carry them on in the higher grades at G1 levels. Drops back in class here, and is back to his fav distance on a heavy track, something he relishes. Pikey onboard, he can win this at $3.

BET: 8 unit win

EAGLE FARM

Race 2: FORTIFIED  is closing in on a win, he’s been finishing his races off well and was only a head away last week at the Sunny Coast. Stats look good for this, he’ll run fav today at $2.50.

BET: 5 unit win

TOOWOOMBA

Race 5: As one of our members commented, ABB ROY  is getting a bit costly, but after her close-up fourth last time out, the betting sites all seem to give her a shot at try 98. She’s at $16, so another small ew bet today, maybe exotics…

BET: 2 units ew

 

Race 7: LONADO  has her hoof on the till, running three close seconds, poor winning strike rate, but surely gets in today at $3…

BET: 8 unit win

FLEMINGTON LATE QADI

Plenty of chances in these legs, but we’ve gotta narrow down somewhere…

Leg 1 we go with the top three, which includes two of our tips

Leg 2, and again the top two favs feature, along with our outrageous outsider

Leg 3, too hard to call, gonna field this, hope for a big payer…

Leg 4, and I do dislike doing this, but we’ll anchor the hotpot fav

1-2-3

2-3-4

FIELD

5

117 units

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