Saturday 9th September 2023
First, second and third…
Another winner from five selections yesterday, with the less-fancied More Than Words (5 units ew) steaming home at $4.70/$1.50, while Penvose Lad got back early and finished on into third, just denying us the quinella…
Capital Girl (3 units ew) just failed by a head to back up her win last week, flying home but just unable to pick up the $19 shot, and just denying us a share in a very handsome $2450 trifecta, dammit!!
A massive 36 from the book, plenty of winners today!!
Here’s NZ, Aussie to follow…
NZ today
TIDAL RUSH
Hastings, 2
Throws in the odd good run but stats say no… $41 outsider
BET: 2 units ew
TOKYO TYCOON
Hastings, 5
Won all five of his career races but disqualified in the last one. Clearly the outstanding horse in this, and very hard to beat. Sell the farm. $1.90 if you’re quick…
BET: 10 unit win
LANEWAY FLIRTING
Hastings, 6
She caught the eye initially in early December with a nice second after being well-supported, earning a next-time tag, when she ran a good third. Repaid us in January with two good wins before heading to the paddock. Resumed at Taupo 17 days ago needing the run but rates a good EW punt here at $19… sleeper…
BET: 4 units ew
BELCLARE, MALI STON, GOSPODIN, AROMATIC
Hastings, 9
This is the Tarzino, and they’ll all have to go some to get past the very smart fav in Legarto, but the places are up for grabs. Odds vary from $15 through to $41, so it’s very much open to EW bets.
BET: Think Legarto wins, include ours in the exotics…
NOT IDEAL
Hastings, 10
Former HK who returned to NZ in June with a win and a second at Ruakaka, followed by a couple of plain efforts there… EW at $6 in this.
BET: 4 units ew
PEARL OF ALSACE
Ruakaka, 5
Has been tremendous for us thanks to my mid-island insider, rewarded us with five straight wins, and certainly wasn’t disgraced in the G1 Breeders in April running fourth. She’s being aimed at the Arrowfield, where she’s a $17 shot antepost. That should come down when she takes this out as $2.40 fav. Sell the other farm…
BET: 10 unit win
BIT NOSY
Ruakaka, 6
Finally broke maidens for us in Jan but pulled up at Taupo before heading to the paddock. Resumes after 6 months, may need the run, $11 shot…
BET: 3 units ew
DOUBLE TAKE
Ruakaka, 9
Another ex-HK runner who resumed this prep with a couple of tidy thirds for us at around the $10 mark, but last run was a bit plain. Will welcome the softer going and rates an EW as $7 second fav in an open betting race.
BET: 4 units ew
Aussie, the Best and the Rest…
THE BEST OF AUSSIE
RECOMMENDATION, BUOYANTSEA
Moonee Valley, 4
R goes out as deserved fav, should win. B won his last two, returns after almost 9 months, can fill the quinella.
BET: R 10 unit win, 8 unit quinella
MOLLYNICKERS, DE SONIC BOOM
Moonee Valley, 6
Mollynickers going through the grades well, good EW bet here at $8. DSB close up in two runs, lesser chance at $34…
BET: M 4 units ew, DSB 2 units ew
PINSTRIPED, GOLDMAN
Moonee Valley, 9
Some good ‘uns in this… Pinstriped was a fast-finishing second three weeks ago, EW shot at $8. Goldman has done very little wrong, won 5 form 7, including beating Soulcombe last time at the races, yet he’s an $11 shot here.
BET: Back both 4 units ew, exotics
DUKE OF HASTINGS
Rosehill, 3
Booted home at the Valley at $17 for us two weeks ago from the back, not an easy ask at MV. That’s made him $3.50 second fav here, looks like a race in two…
BET: 6 unit win, 10 unit quinella with TMC
DON CORLEONE
Rosehill, 8
Returning from a spell, trialled well, EW shot at $8.50.
BET: 4 units ew
THE INEVITABLE, CROSS TALK
Rosehill, 9
TI is a pocket rocket, won plenty for us, mainly in Tazzy, has massively good stats for this, my roughie of the day at $13. CT resumes, very consistent and also decent stats, EW at $7
BET: Both 5 units ew, exotics
SACRED KIWI
Morphettville, 1
Done very little wrong recently, winning last two for us. This is a jump in grade, could be value at $11.
BET: 3 units ew
FOXY FEMME
Morphettville, 3
Gone well in all her races, good resuming third here three weeks back, $3.70 fav here, watch for her late…
BET: 8 unit win
DESTINATION
Doomben, 9
Did well resuming, can feature her at $7.
BET: 4 units ew
COOL LAD
Kembla Grange, 8
Very consistent, open betting race, easy EW bet at $6.
BET: 4 units ew
DAULAT TAI PANAZIZ, WINSTON BLUE
Gold Coast, 4
DTP mixes his races, and hasn’t won for a while, chance back in this grade at $4.60. WB not doing enough, $34 on offer.
BET: DTP 5 unit win, WB 2 unit win, exotics?
TEENTEE
Horsham, 2
Flew home for third 11 days ago, earning next-timer status, $145 fav here, must win…
BET: 10 unit win
ZOU ZOU KACANARKIS
Darwin, 5
Placed in last two here, chance at $7.50…
BET: 3 units ew
DESERT NYMPH
Belmont, 5
Goes well round here, hard to beat as $2.70 fav
BET: 10 unit win
THE REST OF AUSSIE
VARDANI
Moonee Valley, 10
POSSIBLY SO
Rosehill, 2
COOL ENCOUNTER
Doomben, 5
STAR STATUS, FORTIFIED
Cairns, 6
STORM DE LUNE
Kembla Grange, 4
