Saturday 8th March 2025
A brilliant winner…
Oak Hill led the way with a superbly-judged ride to win from the back, not an easy task over 955m at the Valley, paying $3.00.
Eleven from NZ plus 23 from Aussie today, let’s have a look…
NZ today
Tranzed
New Plymouth R6
He was tough running second in November but hasn’t gone on with it, surprisingly short at $5.50 but has won at the track and hasn’t missed the frame in three runs at the distance.
BET: 3 units ew
Alabama Lass, Crocetti
Ellerslie R3
A small field, dominated by our two and looking like the quinella, but just edging towards AL.
BET: 10 unit quinella
Miss Ziggy, Tale Of The Gypsy
Ellerslie R4
Fav looks hard to beat in this.
Big ask for a maiden to win a G1, Miss Ziggy has been racing well, placed four out of six, maybe a place at $18.
TOTG won on debut, she’s a big filly and still a little green, can also fill a place at $34.
BET: Fav to win, our two 2 units ew, exotics
Belclare
Ellerslie R5
Once again the fav looks the winner. Belclare has a good record here (4:2-0), ditto regards a place possibility as $16 third fav.
BET: 3 units ew
Let Fly
Ellerslie R7
Sounding like a stuck record now, but Tajanis is over from Aussie for this after winning his late two, hard to beat if he gets the 2 miles…
Let Fly is the $71 outsider, good course record and Sam has won three times onboard, sleeper…
BET: 3 units ew
First Dance
Ellerslie R8
This is some race, another hot fav but chances wherever you look… Our filly is also the outsider in this, $201 on offer, place at very best…
BET: 2 units ew
Tuxedo, Oceana Dream, Hakkinen
Ellerslie R9
Again, plenty of chances, and our three all in with a chance.
Tuxedo gave ‘em a bath at Te Rapa four weeks ago, steps up to the G1 and rates a superb chance if he sees out the 2400m, $5.50.
Oceana Dream won his first two then a nice third in the Avondale Guineas here two weeks ago. Will be thereabouts, $4.60.
Hakkinen ran just behind OD and also rates at $10.
BET: Tuxedo 5 units ew, OD 4 units ew, Hak 3 units ew, exotics
Aussie today
Marble Nine
Flemington R3
Found the MV 955m too sharp on resuming and this is more suitable, nice EW shot at $17…
BET: 3 units ew
Berkshire Breeze
Flemington R6
Tidy finish on resuming a month ago, will be fitter, 3:2-1 second-up, jockey is 4:3-1, value at $12. Duke De Sessa looks the one to beat.
BET: 3 units ew
Rise At Dawn
Flemington R7
Resumed after 168 days after finishing last prep with three wins for us, and won again from the front. M Zahra jumps on with Mickey Dee on duty in NZ. $16 in a race dominated by the top two in the betting.
BET: 3 units ew, exotics including top two…
Headwall
Flemington R9
Tremendously consistent (14:6-6) and resumed with a huge run for fourth behind Jimmysstar in the G1 Oakleigh. Harry sticks and the extra 100m should suit, great EW bet at $14…
BET: 4 units ew
Miraval Rose, Eternal Flame
Flemington R10
MR is another consistent mare, likes the track and rates an EW bet all day at $6.
EF was in fine form last year, has had two runs this prep and is ready to improve, sleeper in this at $34.
BET: MR 4 units ew, EF 3 units ew
Bel Merci
Randwick R3
Very impressive on debut back in October and trialled up very nicely before her resuming run 14 days ago but faded late after good betting support. Will be fitter for that and expect her to be closer today with winning jockey back up top, $6.50 on offer.
BET: 4 units ew
Broadsiding
Randwick R7
Broadsiding resumed with a super win at Rosehill and has a tremendous record in this class and this T&D, looks the winner as $1.55 fav.
TW was last in that race, this looks too tough again at $201.
BET: BS 10 unit win, TW 2 units ew
Switzerland
Randwick R8
Massively impressive in the Coolmore, giving them a start and a beating and resumed with a fourth in the Lightning. Won all three runs here but pushes out to the 1300m for the first time here, 2:2 second-up, looks a decent EW shot at $5 as JMac sticks.
BET: 5 units ew
Francesco Guardi!
Randwick R9
Did little on resuming but expect him to improve on that run. EW at $21.
BET: 3 units ew
Clear Thinking
Randwick R10
Perpetual backmarker, she flew home this T&D for her only loss in five runs, expecting here to bounce back in this at $5.
BET: 5 units ew
Fox Gem
Murray Bridge R1
He’s another backmarker, and always a threat late. Nice T&Ds, fav jockey onboard, small field, EW at $4.80
BET: 3 units ew
Gold Tracker
Corowa R5
Resuming from a 99 day spell and is 3:0-2 first up, can win this as $3.30 fav on his fav track.
BET: 8 unit win
Primo
Hawkesbury R6
Two even runs this prep, will appreciate the give in the ground and rates an EW chance at $13.
BET: 3 units ew
Zucchero
Hawkesbury R7
The two wins this prep have been impressive, he’s progressing through the grades nicely and jumps again today, and also in distance, but those wins suggest he’s going places. Bullock sticks, $3.70 fav, can go on with it.
BET: 10 unit win
Ghost Doctor
Towong R7
Did nothing resuming, 94 race veteran dropping back in grade, long time since he saluted but $5.50 second fav here.
BET: 3 units ew
Teewaters
Edenhope R7
Resuming and back from metro racing last year. Has trialled up but has no first-up form, $23 in this.
BET: 3 units ew
Seiryu
Mt Isa R4
Running OK without threatening, needs to lift to win one, $5 in this small field.
BET: 4 unit win
Mombasa
Geraldton R3
Gets back early, so not sure the drop to 1413m will suit, EW in a small field.
BET: 3 units ew
Ruler Rocket
Bunbury R6
Inconsistent but throws up the occasional win and place. Has some talent, so watch for him late, $13 shot.
BET: 3 units ew
