Saturday 5th August 2023
Nice winner…
Our patience was rewarded with Devine Miss (6 unit win) bolting home at $3.80 despite the odds-on fav.
Tara Jasmine was dead last all the way, as usual, and flashed home to just miss a placing.
Plenty from the book today, let’s kick off with the NZ tips… Aussie to follow.
NZ, let’s go!!
LORD SPENCER
Riccarton, 1
Done everything but win recently, think today’s his day as $2.40 co-fav.
BET: 10 unit win
DESTINYS GIRL
Riccarton, 7
Done little since the maiden win last year, $23 on offer, could step up today.
BET: 3 units ew
CORK
Riccarton, 9
Nice run to win last time out, has won third up, good stats though up in grade, but good EW bet at $11.
BET: 4 units ew
CROCETTI
Ruakaka, 3
An impressive debut win in Feb and looks the winner on resuming as $2.20 fav.
BET: 10 unit win
NOT IDEAL
Ruakaka, 4
I’m big on ex-HK horses coming back to NZ, and this lad fits the bill with a second and a win. $3.70 on offer, that’ll do me…
BET: 10 unit win
DOUBLE TAKE
Ruakaka, 8
Tidy third first up gives him an EW shot in this at $11.
BET: 3 units ew
Aussie today…
SMILE AND WAVE
Flemington, 1
She certainly did that when she bolted in at Mornington in Jan and followed up here three weeks later with another dominant win. Resumed after 5 months in the paddock needing the run at Caulfield four weeks ago, but fitter for that and a good EW bet at $8.
BET: 4 units ew
COSMIC RHAPSODY, JET JITSU
Flemington, 2
JJ second fav in a big field at $6.50 and worth the EW shot. CR has won his last two moving through the grades, biggest test but I do think $23 is very generous.
BET: Back both 4 units ew and include in exotics.
TEEWATERS
Flemington, 5
Finally saluted for us two weeks back and now he’s got the idea, can go on with it. Bates stick, and he’s worth an EW go at $10.
BET: 4 units ew
CAUSE FOR CONCERN, GENERAL BEAU
Flemington, 7
Both horses in very good order, with CFC winning last three from four for us, $4.20 is a nice price. GB is consistent without winning lately, and looks a dead-set EW bet at $5.50
BET: Back both units ew, exotics
PIONEER RIVER
Flemington, 10
He’s an honest type, rarely far away, and drops in grade here. Loses Meech but gains Zahra, EW calls at $15.
BET: 3 units ew
KIBOSH
Rosehill, 2
Resumes today, and was showing some good form late last year. EW chance at $19.
BET: 3 units ew
RAMONES
Rosehill, 4
On the 10 day back-up, first go at 1400m, and is usually thereabouts. Chance at $10.
BET: 3 units ew
LADY BROOK
Rosehill, 5
OK run here two weeks ago and is also usually close up. Nice EW chance at $23.
BET: 3 units ew
FAWKNER PARK
Rosehill, 9
Ex-UK, four from four in Aus, $2.25 fav, just wins.
BET: 10 unit win
SHAMELESS MISS
Eagle Farm, 2
Drops in grade, should be taking this out as $2.25 fav.
BET: 8 unit win
BEL ACADEMY, KASINOVA KID
Eagle Farm, 4
Well, two horses that have served us well in incredible odds here as they are up in grade… We spruiked BA as a sleeper on return and he duly bolted in for us at a very juicy $34 the win. We’re all over him at $17! KK has been winning at short odds in easier races, has only missed a place once in 16 runs, $12 on offer here.
BET: Gonna be bold here, backing both 5 units ew and including in exotics, including a cheeky 10 units quinella…
FESTIVAL PRINCE
Eagle Farm, 6
Interest only in this… $34 on offer.
BET: 2 units ew
MORE SUGAR
Murray Bridge, 9
We were bang-on three weeks ago with this backmarker mare as she flew home to win as fav. The extra 200m will only help, hers to lose as $3.10 fav here.
BET: 10 unit win
MISS INTENTION
Belmont, 3
Consistent inasmuch as she’s generally close, watch for her late as the $15 shot.
BET: 3 units ew
