Saturday 28th December 2024
Inevitably…
What a cracking little horse The Inevitable is! Ran his race right on cue, descending late to win right on the line for our 10 unit win investment at $1.50, but if you’re on bet365, you’d have taken advantage of the bet boost up to $2.10…
Valieva ran into fourth, looking forward to her over longer…
Four from NZ today, followed by 20 from Aussie, let’s have a look!
NZ today…
Infernape
Timaru R5
Spruiked up in March when bolting home for third in a twelve horse field, and marked as next-timer. Up to 1400m three weeks later, she repeated the dose from dead last of fourteen to run third. Stepping up to the mile was the key, and she duly bolted home from last this T&D for a superb win in April. Went to the paddock and has done zilch since returning. Obviously having issues, those early career runs were very promising, so maybe a sleeper here at $23… Lee Hemi hops on…
BET: 3 units ew
Amberecho
Timaru R7
Profiles well for this after three out of four decent runs this prep including a close second at BM84 29 days ago. Ticks a lot of boxes down in grade and to her fav distance, EW chance at $11.
BET: 4 units ew
Capo Dell Impero
Timaru R8
We rather fancied a better run from him last time out on the firmer surface after he’d struggled on resuming at Wingatui in the heavy going, and he duly obliged with a HoF win at $13. This is tougher, and he’ll need to be closer in the run to feature, winning jock sticks, not out of it at $19…
BET: 3 units ew
Takeiteasy
Rotorua R8
He’s 0 from 8 on good going, so difficult to see how he can make an impression on this firmer track today, $9 on offer, would be a surprise…
BET: 2 units ew
Aussie today…
Mankayan, Bankers Choice
Moonee Valley R9
These two are sitting around the $23 mark, but much prefer Mankayan, a big forgive on the heavy a month back and he does relish this distance. Will get back, shouldn’t a be problem at the Valley over the longer distance could be value at that.
BC simply not doing enough.
BET: M 3 units ew, BC 2 units ew
Boldinho
Moonee Valley R10
Not shown a lot this prep, drops in grade and gets Jaylah, top two will be hard to roll, EW at $9.50
BET: 3 units ew
Social Conscience
Cranbourne R6
Resuming run was eyecatching, next two were OK, but the push up to 1400m should suit. Another chance at $9.
BET: 3 units ew
Blue Spinel, Typhoon Taavi
Eagle Farm R5
Fav will be all the rage but BS will be fitter and Jones/Gollan appeals, as does the $8.50 price and her great stats.
TT hasn’t fired this spell but best can take her close, $12 on offer.
BET: BS 5 units ew, TT 3 units ew, exotics
Appin Girl, Midnight In Tokyo
Eagle Farm R6
These are around the $10 mark, and both have claims. AG consistent this prep, will be finishing fast. MIT struggled 14 days ago but previous two thirds were tidy.
BET: Both 3 units ew, exotics
Zoubaby
Eagle Farm R7
Up in grade but racing so well that she rates a decent EW bet in this if she gets the 1300m, $8 looks value.
BET: 5 units ew
Regal Lion
Eagle Farm R9
Not a great winning strike rate but capable on his day so one for exotics at $34.
BET: 3 units ew
Fox Gem, Wheels
Morphettville R6
FG will have needed that resuming run, form here and the distance plus second-up form, EW shot at $11. Wheels not doing enough, $26 shot.
BET: FG 4 units ew, W 2 un its ew
Donation
Kerang R5
Going well at the picnics, drops 12kgs for this but can win now he knows how to… $3 fav
BET: 10 unit win
Bourbon Road
Kerang R7
New yard, has won first up but likely to need this, $10 shot.
BET: 3 units ew
Badda Boom Baby
Beaudesert R4
Huge finish last time, there’s win in this mare, go again at $9.
BET: 5 units ew
Bold Type
Cairns R7
Three seconds this prep always thereabouts, tops stats, open race though, $4.40.
BET: 6 unit win
Underhand
Darwin R4
Had an intermittent career of late but is talented. Might need this as $14 outsider but keep safe in this small field.
BET: 6 unit win
Miss Intention
Pinjarra R4
Fav hard to beat, gets back but the push to 2000m will see her arriving late, $11 on offer.
BET: 3 units ew
