Saturday 22nd June 2024
That’s better!!
A winner, three seconds, a third and a fourth from eight tips yesterday, a more than reasonable return!
Luxuriant (4 units ew) continued his recent fine form with a winner under Wazza, $5.30/$1.70.
Close seconds for Tikemyson (5 units ew, $2.10) and Sapphire’s Son (2 units ew, $7.30) and Spirit of Pluto (3 units ew, $2.40), and Kalahari Heart running fourth…
Six from NZ and 17 from Aussie, NZ first, Aussie to come shortly…
NZ today…
Ridgeview Chief
Tauranga R4
Resumed from a mammoth 578 days away six weeks ago and needed the run. All four wins have been over this distance and he’s 6:3-0 on heavy, so rating him an EW shot at $7 in an open betting race.
BET: 3 units ew
The First Link
Tauranga R6
Another heavy tracker, rising in grade and distance today and will need to lift to figure in this at $11.
BET: 2 units ew
Cork
Tauranga R8
Resumes after 196 day spell, very nice T&Ds, has won first-up and loves the heavy, could spring a surprise if ready, has trialled. Lisa jumps on, chance at $11.
BET: 3 units ew
Jack In The Box, Little Joe
Tauranga R9
JITB was nice resuming run three weeks ago for third at odds but ran last 7 days ago. Backs up quick, drops in grade, chance at $12.
LJ also ran last when resuming 10 days ago, good stats at the track and on heavy and also drops in grade. Cameron onboard is a bonus, $26 on offer.
BET: Both 3 units ew in an open race.
Royal Wings
Riccarton R8
Done little since her resuming big win for us in December and has poor form on heavy (4:0-0), hard to see her having an impact as $26 shot.
BET: 2 units ew
Aussie today…
Rise At Dawn
Flemington R3
Has won four from seven and bounced back 14 days ago under Celine after getting plenty of support in the market. T&Ds great, ticks a lot of boxes and can get past this hotpot fav as he did last time, $4.60 on offer, that’s the value bet…
BET: 5 units ew
Frumos
Flemington R4
G3 winner who hasn’t done much for a while, so needs to improve significantly to feature here at $17, especially up in grade.
BET: 2 units ew
Inundation
Flemington R5
Resumed last month from a long break without doing much, but does have decent second-up form (2:1-1). $26 on offer, keep safe.
BET: 3 units ew
Oak Hill, Marble Nine
Flemington R9
Good race, winner looks to be amongst the top three in the market.
Hard to split our two, OH has given them a start last two over 1000m and cruised home to win both, looks like he’ll handle the extra 100m. MN came late but couldn’t quite pick up the winner, will be right there. Both $5 in the market.
BET: Both 5 units ew, trifecta with TBC.
Fox Gem
Morphettville R3
On the quick 7 day backup after a third behind this fav last week. Up in grade but a solid EW shot at $7.50.
BET: 3 units ew
Jaykayann
Morphettville R6
Over from Victoria to contest this, got back 17 days ago but finished on well for fifth. Previous form excellent, the rise to 2500m looks suitable today, she’ll go round as $3.10 fav and can bounce back here.
BET: 10 unit win
Sachem, More Sugar
Morphettville R9
Sachem’s been in solid form in three runs this prep without winning, and he can fix that today as $3.20 fav. Pannell sticks, down in grade, will be flying home late… MS did little resuming three weeks ago, but has good track stats and second-up form, EW shot at $26, keep safe.
BET: S 10 unit win, MS 3 units ew, include in exotics with Sachem winning
Fortuneer
Ipswich R6
Won her first three and has taken a couple of runs to find her feet this prep, and confident she can feature in this late over the longer distance, $10 looks value.
BET: 4 units ew
Regal Lion, Desert Icon
Ipswich R7
RL was in solid form before the 2400m looked a bit too far 21 days ago. Back in grade and distance should suit. $6.50 today.
DI done nothing in two this prep, interest only at $23…
BET: RL 3 units ew, DI 2 units ew
Midnight In Tokyo, Typhoon Taavi, Blue Spinel
Ipswich R9
MIT in fine form, top three cert at $5.50, same can be said for TT, chasing four in a row at $8. BS finding it tougher in these higher grades after solid winning form earlier in the year, been going round at big odds back in grade here and capable of finishing in the frame as a $13 shot.
BET: MIT 5 units ew, TT 4 units ew, BS 3 units ew, exotics material
Write Your Own
Donald R2
WYO has huge on resuming in early May at the Bool when sent out a big odds and shot home for second earning a next-time sticker, however he ran an ordinary race at Geelong for sixth. Happy to forgive that, $3.20 fav.
BET: 8 unit win
Festival Prince
Toowoomba R2
Another resuming, this from a 266 day spell. A while since he won, has good T&Ds and first-up form but looks likely to need this, $13 on offer.
BET: 2 units ew
