Saturday 13th July 2024
Next timer…
A scratching left us with seven yesterday, and we fancied Tactfull (5 units ew) to feature with Zac Spain onboard, and he ran a far better race for second at $3.40 and earning a next-time tag…
Five from NZ, 17 from Aussie, let’s have a look!!
NZ Saturday…
Zeefa Zed
Trentham R2
Very consistent this prep over hurdles and the run on the flat last week just kept him ticking over, looks ready for this as $2.80 fav, loves the heavy, use the NZTAB Bonus Back system here…
BET: 10 unit win
Lord Spencer
Trentham R4
Ditto for this lad, the $8.50 makes him a sound EW proposition.
BET: 4 units ew
Shameless Boy
Trentham R10
Co-fav here at $3.10, and moving towards the win, can do it here, looks a race in two…
BET: 10 unit win, 10 unit quinella with Strides
Shamus
Ruakaka R4
Defied the betting drift to get up for us this T&D 14 days ago. EW chance based on that, though fav will be hard to beat… $9 with the Odds Surge…
BET: 3 units ew
Let Fly
Ruakaka R6
Noted in Nov when blocked for a run and a cert beaten. Since then she won and placed in four races, before racing up in grade at Ellerslie then heading for a spell. Resumed here 14 days ago, and ripped home from the back for third, will enjoy the dry ground though she’ll need to be in touch over the shorter mile today, $14 on offer.
BET: 3 units ew
Aussie Saturday…
Infringement
Caulfield R4
Former Kiwi who we fancied 20 days ago at the Bool, and he went round as fav only to drop out to finish last. Up in grade somewhat and sitting at $34 at the moment. L Meech is a positive booking, so can’t discard.
BET: 3 units ew
Teewaters
Caulfield R5
He is a G1 placegetter, and the better run in May for fourth at Casterton suggest he’s moving the right way. Big odds on offer ($41), EW shot in this…
BET: 3 units ew
Frumos
Caulfield R6
Has been finishing off OK last two runs, and she might just be running into form now, and the extra 300m should work in here favour. G3 winner in the past, and worth an EW go here at a juicy $21…
BET: 3 units ew
Major Share, Oak Hill, Marble Nine
Caulfield R7
Some race this, and we’ve got three of the top four in the market…
MS has been super-impressive winning his first three, he’s travelling through the grades with some class, $4.40 fav.
OH has also been impressive, his run 21 days ago at Flem for eighth a blot but he’ll bounce back.
MN is in a similar bracket, running seventh in the same race.
BET: MS 5 units ew. OH and MN 3 units ew, exotics
Recommendation
Caulfield R8
Resumes after 106 days and was racing in rich company prior. Good first-up stats, Shinn onboard, $2.80 fav, ready to roll!
BET: 10 unit win
Chorlton Lane
Caulfield R9
The last-start failure here two weeks ago cost us dearly, but he didn’t look comfy on the soft going, so we’re hoping it’ll form up a bit by tomorrow, and based on his prior two wins, he’s worth another chance. Ms Caudray sticks, and he’s well capable of reversing placings with the top two here as a $4.40 shot.
BET: 5 units ew
Amarantz
Randwick R3
Has made ground late in her last two, so the push out to the mile should assist. Placed 4 from 9 on the heavy ground and gets some weight relief from the apprentice. $16, watch for her late…
BET: 3 units ew
Scenic Rim
Gold Coast Poly R5
Frontrunner who has dropped out badly last two, had been going well prior to those. Second go on the AWT where he was placed that time, can’t rule him out of this, even as a $19 shot…
BET: 3 units ew
Setteveli
Newcastle R8
One of our insider blackbookers, won at nice odds on debut, then again a few weeks later but has been rather ordinary since. Can’t discard, down in grade a touch, $26 on offer.
BET: 3 units ew
Remus
Newcastle R9
Won at big odds for us three back, but never threatened in next two. EW at $26.
BET: 5 units ew
Namazu
Rockhampton R7
Really looked the part when winning his first two this prep, but next two were curiously nowhere near to that level, running eighth and ninth. Drawn nicely, and he goes better from a leading position, EW here as second fav at $5.00
BET: 5 units ew
Fox Gem
Murray Bridge R5
Very consistent, down a touch in grade for this and the rise to 2000m will see him descending on these late, plenty to like about the $7 on offer.
BET: 5 units ew
Sachem, Wheels
Murray Bridge R7
Sachem is pretty consistent, up in grade and distance a touch here as $3.60 fav.
Wheels has been in the book for some time now, and resumed at Mork 14 days ago never emerging from the back and not really handling the heavy. She’s better than that, she’s 4:1-1 second-up, 3:1-1 at the distance and 1:1 here on the track, and she’s today’s sleeper at $51.
BET: Both 3 units ew, include them in exotics
Wango Award
Belmont R6
Super run from last to get up for us here 24 days ago at odds, and Pikey jumps back on today, with the extra 200m looking most suitable, $5.50 on offer.
BET: 5 units ew
