Saturday 13th April 2024
Nice winner, more to come…
We found a nice winner yesterday, despite drifting in the betting, Andersons Bay never looked like losing once he hit the front, and he cantered away to a nice win and a promise of more to come, our 8 unit win rewarding us with a nice $3.40 dividend.
We have 22 from the book, NZ up first, Aussie to follow…
NZ today…
AMBERECHO
Riccarton, 3
Resumes from 70 day break after some ordinary form. Has decent first up and T&D stats, gets Cameron up top, but will need to up her game to figure, $17 on offer.
BET: 3 units ew
THE GREY GOOSE, LORD DARCI
Riccarton, 8
Heavy going possibly got to TGG last time out after two wins for us, back on soft today and back up to the mile will help, $13 on offer, Moseley is 1 from 1 up top, fav hard to beat. LD is a G3 winner, but it’s been a while… Good stats, but place best at $26 here.
BET: TGG 3 units ew, LD 2 units ew
ARDEE BOY
Otaki, 3
Resumed 20 days ago, just ran out of puff close to home and earned a next-time flag. Will be better for that and should be winning this as $3.70 fav.
BET: 8 unit win
TESTIFY ME
Otaki, 6
Got up for a fabulous win in the St Leger 28 days ago, beating fav The Underbelly by a nostril at $9.40/$2.50. That puts him in contention here as $4.40 fav.
BET: 5 units ew
GEE STRING
Otaki, 7
Hard to catch, has gone well on heavy, Lisa’s 1 from 1 up top, EW shot at $19.
BET: 3 units ew
Aussie today…
GIRL
Bendigo, 3
On-pacer who won two for us before a close fifth at Flem 14 days ago in Open grade. Back to BM70 and up to 1300m, nice stats, easy EW bet here at $6.50.
BET: 5 units ew
TURBEAU
Bendigo, 4
Rarely far off and drops back in grade here, maybe a sleeper in this at $18.
BET: 3 units ew
BOLDINHO, REAL GUN
Bendigo, 6
Boldinho is a super-consistent on-pacer and rates a chance in this open event as an $8 shot. RG up in grade again, too rich for him 14 days ago at Flem, will need to step up and rates an outsider’s chance at $51.
BET: B 5 units ew, RG 2 units ew, exotics…
PAPILLON CLUB
Bendigo, 7
PC’s early career form was outstanding before heading to the paddock this time last year, and was a bit so-so when he returned in September. Resumed after 133 days three weeks ago with a smart run at MV where she finished well on the tight track for second. This should suit up to the 1400m, she’ll sit in and produce late, great EW bet at $7.50.
BET: 5 units ew
SUNSHINEINMYPOCKET
Bendigo, 8
Three wins from three, going through the grades with some style and possesses a devastating change of gears. Races here in preference to Randwick, all over him as $4.20 second fav.
BET: 5 units ew
TEEWATERS
Bendigo, 9
Resumes from 156 day spell, and will need the run as $201 outsider, but has placed at G1.
BET: 2 units ew
CHORLTON LANE
Bendigo, 10
Hasn’t missed top four in eight runs, resumes after 158 days. Down in grade, best distance, super stats, $2.90 fav. Looks like a race in two with Extratwo, who beat Papillon Club last time out.
BET: CL 8 unit win, 10 unit quinella these two…
BALTIC COAST
Randwick, 3
Flew home for third at big odds for us 10 days ago at Newcastle. This is harder, could sneak a place with Shinn onboard, $71 would be nice!
BET: 2 units ew
GLENTANEOUS
Randwick, 7
Plenty of chances in this wide open race, capable of a big finish, so will be interesting to see him up to the 2 miles here. Kah jumps on, rate him a good EW bet at $16 in this…
BET: 3 units ew
ETERNAL FLAME
Randwick, 9
Off the back of a G3 and a G2 win in the Sunline, can’t do more than win and she’s been doing that in some style. Another step up, D Lane is 2:2, but $17 looks generous.
BET: 4 units ew
C’EST MAGIQUE
Randwick, 10
Expected more from her 21 days ago after two good placing s in G3 company, got back and finished on into ninth. Up to G2 here but has placed at G1, EW shot at $9.50.
BET: 3 units ew
RISE AT DAWN, ARTFUL TAWNY
Morphettville, 6
RAD missed the start at MV two back but still got up and won over the mile, so the rise to 2040m there 21 days ago looked suitable but he faded late. The 1800m here today could be the answer, more room to work with and can give ‘em something to catch, $4.80 second fav.
AT disappointing last time after seemingly heading for a win, pushes out to 1800m but well up in grade, $201 outsider.
BET: RAD 5 units ew, AT 2 units ew
MOLLYNICKERS
Morphettville, 7
Has been finishing off well without winning recently, needs to step up today, and out to the 1800m plus Ms Hefel up top could be the answer. $3.40 fav.
BET: 7 unit win
SETTEVELI
Newcastle, 7
Our insider tip is proving hard to catch. He was ordinary beyond belief 12 days ago at Warwick Farm, let’s say he needed the run. Back in grade here, so EW at $5 second fav is the go.
BET: 5 units ew
