Friday 27th September 2024
Three from four…
The early abandonment at Hawkesbury eliminated two of our six tips yesterday, the remaining four ran a third (Mountain Chatter) and two fourths (Handshake and More Likely).
Busy TGIF today, with sixteen from the book with several from Te Rapa plus a night meeting at the Valley, let’s have a look…
TGIF’s sweet sixteen…
Double Take, Jack In The Box
Te Rapa R4
2:06pm
DT got up for a rare win four runs back but nowhere since, $21 today. JIB similarly won five back but little since, he’s at $23.
BET: Both 2 units ew
Ess Vee Are
Te Rapa R6
3:13pm
Resumes from a 223 day break, OK first-up (4:0-3), has trialled twice but likely to need this, $34 on offer.
BET: 2 units ew
Ridgeview Chief
Te Rapa R8
4:21pm
Better last time when trying to lead to run a close fourth here 12 days ago, $26 is about right…
BET: 2 units ew
Baraqiel, Barber
Moonee Valley R2
8:45pm
Baraqiel won his first four, last two he ran third down the Flem straight. Back to 1200m suits, will need to be close to the pace at the Valley, $5 in this, should go close.
Barber won his first three and has been inconsistent since. Resumed 13 days ago at Rosehill with a solid fifth, Kah jumps on, down in grade a touch, $9.50 today.
BET: Baraqiel 5 units ew, Barber 3 units ew
Marble Nine
Moonee Valley R3
9:15pm
On-pacer back to his fav distance on a tight track, caught late at Morks late 13 days ago, if he gets to the front he’ll be hard to catch, $7 looks generous…
BET: 5 units ew
Antino
Moonee Valley R4
9:45pm
Looks like a race in two with Antino filling third spot in a four horse G2.
BET: 3 unit win interest bet…
Recommendation
Moonee Valley R7
11:15pm
Won three in a row at G3, this is his biggest test to date but can’t knock winning form… Won a trial last week, stunning stats all round, and will be hard to catch if he gets to the front on the tight track, $10.
BET: 4 units ew
Matriarch Rose
Moonee Valley R8
11:45pm
Very honest mare, rarely far away, can finish over the top of these as long as she doesn’t get too far back, $23 has her as the sleeper in this…
BET: 4 units ew
Royal Fox
Benalla R4
4:15pm
Been going round well in the grade, just found the BM70 a bit too much last time, but Noonan knows the horse well, sticks today, and he’ll be dropping in late for sure, $19 looks outrageously generous!
BET: 5 units ew
Bringyaticket
Bowen R3
5:01pm
Back to his best form 22 days ago forging home late for a nice win at $7 for us, gets a boost with Stanley up top and can knock off this fav in a small field, $4 on offer.
BET: 8 unit win
Set The Sails, Legal Challenge
Bowen R7
7:35pm
STS has been consistent this prep, trying to lead all the way on the last three and just not quite able to finish them off. EW chance at $5…
Don’t write off LC just yet, he’ll have taken great benefit from those two runs this prep, scampering home well from the back for a close sixth and seventh. The rise to 1470m will suit, watch for him late, $19 is juicy…
BET: Back both at 3 units ew, could make for spicy exotics!
Moxatation
Coleraine R5
5:05pm
Made us wait a long time, but the drop in grade and rise in distance 14 days ago worked wonders as he bolted home from the back for a $23 win for us. Now he’s got the idea, and up to the mile, he can repeat the dose despite a small rise in grade, $15 on offer…
BET: 4 units ew
Night Fighter
Scone R5
5:15pm
Had been knocking on the door early this prep before a flat eighth at Moree last month but followed that up with a big finish from dead last to run a close fifth at Muswellbrook 17 days ago. Van Overmeire sticks, slight raise in grade, has placed 1:0-1 on heavy, should be thereabouts at $7…
BET: 3 units ew
