February 15, 2025

Saturday 15th February 2025

Another nice winner…

Nice win for Aquilifer (10 unit win) as she got up at $2.90 in her second go at this grade.

Efforkat ran a better effort than recent runs, finishing fourth.

Ten from NZ and 22 from Aussie on a big day of racing, let’s dive in!!

NZ Ten today…

Kereti

Matamata R2

Got trapped on the fence when resuming in early Jan but found a gap and weaved through for a super win. Tried to lead all the way four weeks ago at Trentham just getting nicked late, drops in grade and looks hard to beat with Wazza onboard as $3.60 fav.

BET: 10 unit win

First Dance

Matamata R5

Similar story with this filly, hasn’t run a bad race and looks another $3.60 fav hard to beat with Kennedy sticking.

BET: 10 unit win

Irish Legacy, Karman Line

Matamata R6

Irish Legacy tends to get a bit fractious at the gate as she did at Tauranga 19 days ago, but that didn’t stop her breezing in. $7.50 in this, and Elliot naturally jumps ship for the fav but still think she’s a super EW bet in this.

KL has been running in harder than this without threatening, she’d be a threat if she finds her best form, $26 on offer.

BET: IL 5 units ew, KL 2 units ew, exotics including Legarto

Tale Of The Gypsy

Matamata R7

Spruiked on debut and duly won, though a bit green. Odds-on next time out a month back at Ellerslie, running a close fourth, EW in this at $7, fav looks hard to beat though…

BET: 3 units ew

What You Wish For

Matamata R8

Backmarker who’ll enjoy the push out to 2000m after flashing home 21 days ago, $6.50 in a very open betting event.

BET: 5 units ew

Buoyant

Invercargill R4

The win three back was nice, and not too far off up in grade last two, but has been very effective at this level and distance. EW shot at $8.

BET: 4 units ew

Lochnaberry

Invercargill R6

Was in good form this time last year then went for a spell. Came back and ran three close finishes just outside the placings, and resumed 13 days ago needing the run. Has won at this T&D and rates an EW chance at $11 in an open event.

BET: 3 units ew

Freddie Time

Invercargill R7

This fav looks very hard to beat, with Freddie Time running fifth behind her 13 days ago, but the $19 on offer makes her a real value EW shot and a contender to fill the exotics placings.

BET: 3 units ew, can fill a place in the exotics behind Pivotal Ten.

Missoni

Invercargill R9

Very consistent mare and she rates a chance with Tina back onboard (3:1-1), another open race, and she’s value at $8.50.

BET: 4 units ew

Aussie today…

Miraval Rose

Flemington R3

Suited back up to the 1400m, excellent stats, $4.60 second fav, go close.

BET: 5 units ew

He’s Our Bonneval

Flemington R5

Resumes from a 140 day spell and may just need the run, though he’s 5:1-2 first-up. Chance at $19…

BET: 3 units ew

Chorlton Lane, Rise At Dawn, Berkeley Square

Flemington R6

Three in this, including the two favs…

CL ran a close third in a G3 a week ago, B Shinn sticks, and looks the one to beat, only missed the frame once at this distance in thirteen runs.

RAD resumes after 168 days after finishing last prep with three wins for us, he’s 2:2 first-up, a proven on-pacer dropping back to the 1400m, he’s gonna give ‘em something to chase down, $4.4, super stats…

BS resumes also and was in very consistent form prior, not missing the frame in seven runs. Stats are also off the charts but generally been going over longer, so this may be a tune-up for him…

BET: All got claims in this, first two 5 units ew, BS 3 units ew, exotics!

Ndola

Flemington R7

Noted bolting home in August here then ran seventh in the Poseidon a month later. The jump to 1400m in September looked ideal and he was backed in with some venom and won accordingly. Resumed from a four month break three weeks ago but never got into the race, though not far off. Currie sticks (5:3-1), prepared to give him another chance in this at $26…

BET: 4 units ew

Switzerland, Joyful Fortune, Philosopher

Flemington R8

Switzerland was massively impressive in the Coolmore, giving them a start and a beating and resumes here as fav at $2.70. Looks like race in two with Growing Empire.

Joyful Fortune was resuming from800 days away last month, and under the circumstances did well to run a close third after leading for much of the way. This is probably a step too far for him class-wise but could fill a place at $41.

Philosopher is at the same price, a last-time winner but this looks too much for him as well.

BET: Switzerland 10 unit win, 10 unit quinella with GE, JF and P 2 units ew, exotics…

Gregolimo

Flemington R10

Resuming from a 231 day break, too short for him, this is a tune-up at $126…

BET: 2 units ew, interest only…

Adolphus

Randwick R2

He was massively impressive winning two races in May in dominant fashion, before running a strange race, very stop-start, but looked the winner about 200m out as he hit the front only to fade late in a blanket finish for a second at Wagga in June. Couldn’t quite catch the winner 14 days ago at Rosehill, interesting that they’ve got him out to 1800m when it looked like a shorter distance might suit, but still expect him to go close here as $4 fav.

BET: 5 units ew

Super Pursuit

Randwick R4

Better run for fourth resuming a month ago but this looks too hard at $41.

BET: 2 units ew

Clear Thinking

Randwick R6

Unbeaten in four as she saunters through the grades, best test yet, $3.40 fav, sticking with her…

BET: 10 unit win

Boldinho

Randwick R10

Not far off last two, could make a place at $26.

BET: 2 units ew

Bullet Wing

Morphettville R4

A better second a month back, ready to win today in an open race, $5 on offer.

BET: 5 units ew

Age Of Sail

Eagle Farm R5

Very consistent last year and two runs this prep has him ready to show his best. Like the addition of A <+Mallyon up top, will go close in this as $3.90 second fav.

BET: 5 units ew

Blue Spinel

Eagle Farm R9

A much-improved third here last month, tremendous stats for this, I fancy she’ll figure in the finish here, $17 very attractive odds!

BET: 4 units ew

Shuri

Newcastle R5

Resumed three weeks ago, and needed the run as she was noted with a fast finish from dead last for a close eighth. Gibbons sticks, open betting race, easy EW bet at $4.80.

BET: 5 units ew

Ramones

Newcastle R8

Has progressed in three runs this prep. Doesn’t win out of turn, on-pacer who’ll give then something to run down as $4.20 fav.

BET: 4 units ew

Donation

Bendigo R6

Was going OK at the picnics but has struggled in this grade, $10 shot here…

BET: 3 units ew

Bold Type

Cairns R9

Denied a run (and a win) the other day with an abandoned meeting, will lead in this 8950m dash, should be winning as $2.50 fav.

BET: 10 unit win

Scissor Step

Pinjarra R2

Resumes after 195 days and has trialled well for the new stable, he’s 6:3-1 first-up, keep safe at $8.

BET: 4 units ew

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